2013年4月20日星期六

Obama marketing campaign disputes we have been right down

Obama marketing campaign disputes we have been right down to eight.
(INTERACTIVE: 2012 Electoral Higher education Calculator Map)
Actually, the amount of states up for grabs is most likely even scaled-down. And while Romney features a narrow but steady direct within the polls, Obama offers the benefit inside the Electoral Higher education math. Romney s problem is he has fewer pathways to 270 electoral xprog m votes. As National Journal s Major Garrett describes:
Romney, in line with RCP, has 191 electoral votes. If you addFlorida(29),North Carolina(fifteen), andVirginia (thirteen), that brings his complete to 248 electoral votes. AddColorado(nine) which neither marketing campaign is prepared to say or concede and Romney s overall rises to 257 electoral votes. If Romney winsOhio(eighteen) furthermore to these states, he would have 275 electoral votes. If Romney losesOhio, he would want to winIowa,Nevada, andNew Hampshireto attain 273 electoral votes. There is certainly a state of affairs exactly where Romney could loseOhioandNew Hampshirebut winIowaandNevadaand 1 electoral vote from the 2nd Congressional District in Maine (the condition allocates electoral votes by district vote) and capture the bare minimum of 270 electoral votes.
(A lot more: Women Voters Won the next Presidential Discussion)
Should you give Romney North Carolina, he has 206, but he nevertheless has to have Virginia and Florida, in addition wrest away many from a seize bag of swing states Obama received in 2008 to vault his campaign more than the hump. These includetwo Mountain West toss-ups (Colorado and Nevada, the latter of which appears to lean toward Obama), New Hampshire (exactly where Obama can be a 70% favored, according to Nate Silver s algorithm) and a few Midwestern states (Iowa, Wisconsin and Ohio) the auto diagnostic tool place the incumbent has held slim but regular leads.
The Buckeye Condition, a perennial presidential bellwether, is yet again the linchpin for the two sides.If Romney doesn

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